State Partisan Lean Over 1960-2020 Many visualizations show the way states have voted over time, but it's surprisingly hard to find a visualization of how the partisan lean of a state has changed over the years. Partisan lean is the difference between how Dem/Rep a state voted vs how Dem/Rep the nation as a whole voted. It's FiveThirtyEight's preferred measurement of how Dem/Rep leaning a state is.
graphs, yo california texas florida new_york pennsylvania illinois ohio georgia north_carolina michigan new_jersey virginia washington arizona tennessee massachusetts indiana missouri maryland colorado wisconsin minnesota south_carolina alabama louisiana kentucky oregon oklahoma connecticut utah nevada iowa arkansas mississippi kansas new_mexico nebraska idaho west_virginia hawaii new_hampshire maine montana rhode_island delaware south_dakota north_dakota alaska vermont wyoming CA OR NV AZ 25.3 30.0 19.8 17.2 12.6 11.9 5.0 10.1 4.2 1.9 -8.3 -3.9 9.6 -2.5 -4.4 1968 1980 1992 2004 2016 stats, yo 2020 2016 2012 2008 2004 2000 1996 1992 1988 1984 1980 1976 1972 1968 national 4.5 2.2 3.9 7.4 -2.5 0.5 9.5 6.9 -7.8 -18.3 -10.6 2.1 -23.6 -0.8 california 29.8 (25.3) 32.3 (30.0) 23.7 (19.8) 24.6 (17.2) 10.1 (12.6) 12.4 (11.9) 14.4 (5.0) 17.0 (10.1) -3.6 (4.2) -16.4 (1.9) -18.9 (-8.3) -1.8 (-3.9) -13.9 (9.6) -3.3 (-2.5) texas -5.7 (-10.2) -9.4 (-11.7) -16.0 (-19.9) -11.9 (-19.2) -23.0 (-20.5) -21.9 (-22.4) -5.3 (-14.8) -4.5 (-11.4) -12.7 (-4.9) -27.6 (-9.2) -14.3 (-3.7) 3.2 (1.1) -33.1 (-9.6) 1.6 (2.4) florida -3.4 (-7.9) -1.2 (-3.5) 0.9 (-3.0) 2.8 (-4.5) -5.0 (-2.6) -0.0 (-0.5) 6.3 (-3.2) -2.4 (-9.3) -22.5 (-14.7) -30.7 (-12.3) -18.1 (-7.5) 5.4 (3.3) -44.2 (-20.7) -13.4 (-12.6) new_york 23.5 (18.9) 23.5 (21.3) 28.6 (24.7) 27.2 (19.8) 18.6 (21.1) 26.2 (25.6) 32.0 (22.6) 19.0 (12.0) 4.1 (11.9) -8.0 (10.3) -2.9 (7.7) 4.4 (2.3) -17.4 (6.2) 5.8 (6.6) pennsylvania 1.2 (-3.4) -0.8 (-3.0) 5.5 (1.5) 10.5 (3.1) 2.5 (5.0) 4.3 (3.8) -2.3 (-11.8) -7.4 (-14.3) 2.7 (10.5) -20.3 (-2.0) 30.3 (40.9) 2.3 (0.2) -13.2 (10.4) -5.9 (-5.1) illinois 17.3 (12.8) 18.0 (15.8) 17.2 (13.2) 25.5 (18.1) 10.4 (12.9) 12.4 (11.8) 19.2 (9.7) 17.2 (10.3) -2.1 (5.7) -12.9 (5.4) -8.7 (1.9) -2.0 (-4.1) -18.6 (5.0) -3.2 (-2.4) ohio -8.2 (-12.7) -8.5 (-10.8) 3.0 (-0.9) 4.7 (-2.7) -2.1 (0.4) -3.6 (-4.2) 7.2 (-2.3) 2.3 (-4.6) -10.9 (-3.1) -18.9 (-0.6) -11.5 (-0.9) 0.3 (-1.8) -22.1 (1.5) -2.6 (-1.8) georgia 0.2 (-4.3) -5.3 (-7.5) -7.9 (-11.8) -5.3 (-12.6) -16.7 (-14.2) -12.0 (-12.5) -1.4 (-10.9) 0.7 (-6.2) -20.4 (-12.6) -20.4 (-2.1) 15.3 (25.9) 33.9 (31.8) -50.6 (-27.0) -6.4 (-5.6) north_carolina -1.4 (-5.9) -3.8 (-6.0) -2.1 (-6.0) 0.3 (-7.0) -12.5 (-10.0) -12.9 (-13.5) -5.1 (-14.5) -0.9 (-7.8) -16.3 (-8.5) -24.1 (-5.7) -2.2 (8.4) 11.1 (9.0) -41.3 (-17.7) -14.9 (-14.1) michigan 2.8 (-1.7) -0.2 (-2.5) 9.6 (5.7) 16.7 (9.4) 3.5 (5.9) 5.3 (4.7) 14.6 (5.2) 9.2 (2.3) -8.0 (-0.2) -19.1 (-0.8) -7.1 (3.5) -5.5 (-7.6) -14.7 (8.9) 7.5 (8.3) new_jersey 16.1 (11.6) 14.6 (12.3) 18.0 (14.0) 15.7 (8.4) 6.7 (9.2) 16.4 (15.9) 19.9 (10.5) 2.8 (-4.1) -13.8 (-6.0) -21.0 (-2.7) -14.8 (-4.2) -2.2 (-4.3) -25.2 (-1.6) -2.4 (-1.6) virginia 10.3 (5.8) 5.7 (3.4) 3.9 (0.0) 6.4 (-1.0) -8.3 (-5.8) -8.3 (-8.8) -2.1 (-11.6) -5.1 (-12.0) -20.7 (-12.9) -25.4 (-7.0) -13.6 (-3.0) -1.4 (-3.5) -38.5 (-14.9) -14.3 (-13.5) washington 19.9 (15.3) 17.6 (15.3) 15.3 (11.3) 17.5 (10.1) 7.3 (9.8) 5.9 (5.4) 14.4 (4.9) 15.2 (8.3) 1.6 (9.4) -13.1 (5.2) -14.2 (-3.6) -4.0 (-6.1) -19.1 (4.4) 2.3 (3.1) arizona 0.3 (-4.2) -3.8 (-6.0) -9.2 (-13.2) -8.6 (-16.0) -10.6 (-8.1) -6.6 (-7.1) 2.4 (-7.0) -2.6 (-9.5) -21.5 (-13.7) -34.2 (-15.9) -36.4 (-25.8) -17.2 (-19.3) -34.0 (-10.4) -22.0 (-21.2) tennessee -23.7 (-28.2) -27.2 (-29.5) -20.7 (-24.6) -15.3 (-22.6) -14.4 (-11.9) -3.9 (-4.5) 2.6 (-6.9) 5.2 (-1.7) -16.4 (-8.6) -16.4 (2.0) -0.3 (10.3) 13.1 (11.0) -38.9 (-15.4) -14.7 (-13.9) massachusetts 34.2 (29.7) 29.3 (27.1) 23.6 (19.6) 26.4 (19.0) 25.5 (28.0) 29.6 (29.0) 37.3 (27.8) 24.2 (17.3) 8.0 (15.8) -2.8 (15.5) -0.2 (10.4) 16.2 (14.1) 9.0 (32.6) 31.4 (32.2) indiana -16.4 (-20.9) -20.2 (-22.5) -10.4 (-14.3) 1.0 (-6.3) -20.8 (-18.4) -16.0 (-16.5) -6.3 (-15.8) -7.7 (-14.6) -20.3 (-12.4) -24.1 (-5.8) -19.6 (-9.0) -7.7 (-9.8) -33.0 (-9.4) -13.9 (-13.1) missouri -15.7 (-20.2) -19.6 (-21.9) -9.6 (-13.5) -0.1 (-7.5) -7.2 (-4.8) -3.4 (-4.0) 7.1 (-2.4) 13.0 (6.1) -4.0 (3.8) -20.0 (-1.7) -7.1 (3.5) 3.7 (1.6) -24.6 (-1.0) -1.3 (-0.5) maryland 34.1 (29.5) 28.0 (25.8) 26.6 (22.7) 25.9 (18.5) 13.1 (15.6) 16.9 (16.4) 17.3 (7.8) 16.6 (9.7) -2.9 (4.9) -5.5 (12.8) 3.2 (13.8) 6.1 (4.0) -24.2 (-0.7) 1.9 (2.7) colorado 13.9 (9.3) 5.4 (3.1) 5.5 (1.6) 9.1 (1.7) -4.7 (-2.2) -9.0 (-9.5) -1.5 (-11.0) 5.6 (-1.3) -7.9 (-0.1) -28.7 (-10.4) -27.9 (-17.3) -11.9 (-14.0) -28.8 (-5.2) -10.0 (-9.2) wisconsin 0.6 (-3.9) -0.8 (-3.0) 7.0 (3.1) 14.1 (6.7) 0.4 (2.9) 0.2 (-0.3) 11.8 (2.4) 5.6 (-1.3) 3.6 (11.5) -9.2 (9.1) -5.2 (5.4) 1.7 (-0.4) -10.0 (13.6) -3.9 (-3.1) minnesota 7.3 (2.7) 1.7 (-0.6) 7.9 (4.0) 10.5 (3.1) 3.5 (6.0) 2.6 (2.0) 18.8 (9.3) 15.4 (8.5) 7.1 (14.9) 0.2 (18.5) 4.4 (15.0) 13.3 (11.2) -5.6 (17.9) 13.1 (13.9) south_carolina -11.9 (-16.4) -14.9 (-17.1) -10.6 (-14.5) -9.1 (-16.5) -17.3 (-14.8) -16.3 (-16.8) -6.4 (-15.9) -9.3 (-16.2) -24.1 (-16.3) -28.2 (-9.9) -1.6 (9.0) 13.1 (11.0) -43.3 (-19.7) -12.5 (-11.7) alabama -25.8 (-30.4) -28.7 (-31.0) -22.4 (-26.4) -21.8 (-29.2) -25.8 (-23.3) -15.2 (-15.7) -7.5 (-16.9) -7.6 (-14.6) -19.5 (-11.7) -22.5 (-4.2) -1.4 (9.3) 13.3 (11.2) -47.9 (-24.3) 14.5 (15.3) louisiana -18.9 (-23.5) -20.3 (-22.6) -17.5 (-21.4) -18.9 (-26.3) -14.7 (-12.2) -7.9 (-8.4) 13.1 (3.6) 5.3 (-1.6) -9.2 (-1.4) -22.8 (-4.5) -5.6 (5.0) 5.9 (3.8) -39.5 (-15.9) 9.2 (10.0) kentucky -26.4 (-30.9) -31.3 (-33.6) -23.1 (-27.0) -16.5 (-23.8) -20.0 (-17.5) -15.5 (-16.0) 1.1 (-8.4) 3.7 (-3.2) -11.7 (-3.9) -20.8 (-2.4) -1.5 (9.1) 7.3 (5.2) -29.1 (-5.6) -7.5 (-6.7) oregon 16.6 (12.1) 12.3 (10.1) 12.5 (8.6) 16.8 (9.4) 4.2 (6.7) 0.5 (-0.1) 9.4 (-0.1) 13.3 (6.4) 4.8 (12.6) -12.2 (6.1) -11.1 (-0.5) -0.2 (-2.3) -10.7 (12.9) -6.5 (-5.6) oklahoma -33.9 (-38.4) -38.6 (-40.8) -33.5 (-37.5) -31.3 (-38.7) -31.1 (-28.7) -22.2 (-22.7) -8.8 (-18.3) -11.2 (-18.2) -16.8 (-9.0) -38.2 (-19.9) -26.7 (-16.1) -1.2 (-3.3) -50.9 (-27.3) -19.7 (-18.9) connecticut 20.3 (15.8) 14.3 (12.1) 17.5 (13.6) 22.6 (15.3) 10.5 (13.0) 18.5 (18.0) 20.7 (11.3) 8.3 (1.3) -5.2 (2.6) -22.0 (-3.7) -11.1 (-0.5) -5.2 (-7.3) -18.7 (4.9) 5.5 (6.3) utah -21.4 (-25.9) -24.8 (-27.0) -49.3 (-53.2) -29.1 (-36.4) -46.7 (-44.2) -43.5 (-44.0) -24.0 (-33.5) -22.7 (-29.6) -34.8 (-27.0) -50.2 (-31.9) -55.9 (-45.3) -30.0 (-32.1) -43.9 (-20.3) -20.8 (-19.9) nevada 2.4 (-2.1) 2.6 (0.4) 6.8 (2.9) 12.8 (5.4) -2.6 (-0.1) -3.7 (-4.2) 1.2 (-8.3) 3.6 (-3.3) -21.6 (-13.8) -34.6 (-16.3) -39.9 (-29.2) -4.5 (-6.6) -27.4 (-3.8) -9.4 (-8.6) iowa -8.4 (-12.9) -10.1 (-12.4) 5.9 (2.0) 9.7 (2.3) -0.7 (1.8) 0.3 (-0.2) 11.5 (2.0) 7.5 (0.6) 10.3 (18.1) -7.4 (10.9) -14.1 (-3.5) -1.0 (-3.1) -17.5 (6.1) -13.0 (-12.2) arkansas -28.4 (-33.0) -28.6 (-30.8) -24.3 (-28.2) -20.3 (-27.7) -9.9 (-7.4) -5.6 (-6.1) 18.7 (9.2) 20.0 (13.1) -14.4 (-6.6) -22.5 (-4.1) -0.6 (10.0) 30.0 (27.9) -38.6 (-15.0) -11.6 (-10.8) mississippi -16.8 (-21.3) -18.2 (-20.4) -11.6 (-15.5) -13.3 (-20.7) -19.8 (-17.4) -17.2 (-17.7) -5.5 (-15.0) -9.9 (-16.8) -21.0 (-13.2) -24.6 (-6.2) -1.4 (9.3) 1.9 (-0.2) -59.9 (-36.3) 26.0 (26.8) kansas -15.0 (-19.5) -22.2 (-24.4) -22.2 (-26.2) -15.2 (-22.6) -25.7 (-23.2) -21.8 (-22.4) -20.1 (-29.6) -7.1 (-14.0) -13.5 (-5.7) -34.1 (-15.7) -27.0 (-16.3) -7.8 (-9.9) -39.3 (-15.7) -22.5 (-21.7) new_mexico 11.0 (6.5) 9.3 (7.1) 10.6 (6.7) 15.3 (8.0) -0.8 (1.7) 0.1 (-0.5) 8.0 (-1.4) 10.3 (3.4) -5.0 (2.8) -20.7 (-2.4) -19.8 (-9.2) -2.5 (-4.6) -25.1 (-1.5) -13.2 (-12.4) nebraska -19.6 (-24.1) -27.1 (-29.3) -22.3 (-26.2) -15.2 (-22.6) -33.7 (-31.2) -30.4 (-30.9) -21.1 (-30.6) -22.6 (-29.5) -21.1 (-13.3) -42.0 (-23.7) -43.1 (-32.5) -21.2 (-23.3) -41.0 (-17.4) -30.6 (-29.8) idaho -31.8 (-36.3) -36.6 (-38.8) -32.8 (-36.8) -26.0 (-33.4) -38.6 (-36.2) -41.7 (-42.2) -21.6 (-31.1) -19.3 (-26.2) -26.6 (-18.8) -46.6 (-28.2) -45.0 (-34.4) -23.5 (-25.6) -42.3 (-18.7) -29.9 (-29.1) west_virginia -39.6 (-44.1) -44.3 (-46.5) -27.3 (-31.3) -13.3 (-20.7) -13.0 (-10.5) -6.5 (-7.0) 16.7 (7.2) 15.5 (8.6) 4.8 (12.6) -10.5 (7.8) 4.7 (15.4) 16.1 (14.0) -27.2 (-3.6) 9.8 (10.6) hawaii 30.1 (25.5) 34.9 (32.7) 43.4 (39.5) 46.0 (38.6) 8.8 (11.3) 19.7 (19.1) 28.6 (19.1) 13.4 (6.5) 9.6 (17.4) -11.4 (6.9) 2.2 (12.8) 2.6 (0.5) -25.0 (-1.4) 21.4 (22.3) new_hampshire 7.5 (3.0) 0.4 (-1.8) 5.7 (1.7) 9.7 (2.4) 1.4 (3.9) -1.3 (-1.9) 11.2 (1.7) 1.6 (-5.3) -26.5 (-18.7) -37.9 (-19.5) -34.1 (-23.5) -11.5 (-13.6) -29.5 (-5.9) -8.5 (-7.7) maine 9.3 (4.8) 3.2 (1.0) 15.7 (11.8) 17.7 (10.3) 9.2 (11.7) 5.5 (5.0) 25.3 (15.9) 12.1 (5.2) -11.5 (-3.7) -22.1 (-3.8) -3.8 (6.8) -0.9 (-3.0) -23.0 (0.6) 12.4 (13.2) montana -16.8 (-21.3) -22.2 (-24.4) -14.1 (-18.0) -2.3 (-9.7) -21.0 (-18.5) -27.3 (-27.8) -3.4 (-12.8) 3.4 (-3.5) -6.0 (1.8) -22.6 (-4.3) -27.3 (-16.7) -7.6 (-9.7) -21.0 (2.6) -9.8 (-9.0) rhode_island 21.2 (16.7) 16.6 (14.4) 28.0 (24.1) 28.4 (21.0) 21.2 (23.6) 31.3 (30.8) 38.0 (28.5) 23.7 (16.8) 11.8 (19.6) -3.7 (14.7) 12.3 (22.9) 11.3 (9.2) -6.2 (17.4) 33.7 (34.5) delaware 19.3 (14.7) 12.0 (9.8) 18.9 (15.0) 25.3 (17.9) 7.7 (10.2) 13.5 (12.9) 17.2 (7.8) 10.4 (3.5) -12.5 (-4.7) -19.9 (-1.6) -2.5 (8.1) 5.5 (3.4) -20.7 (2.9) -4.0 (-3.2) south_dakota -26.9 (-31.4) -31.9 (-34.2) -18.4 (-22.4) -8.6 (-16.0) -21.8 (-19.3) -23.2 (-23.8) -3.9 (-13.3) -4.5 (-11.4) -6.4 (1.4) -26.6 (-8.3) -31.3 (-20.7) -1.5 (-3.6) -8.7 (14.9) -11.9 (-11.1) north_dakota -34.4 (-39.0) -39.6 (-41.8) -20.2 (-24.2) -8.8 (-16.2) -27.8 (-25.3) -29.5 (-30.0) -7.8 (-17.3) -15.7 (-22.7) -13.2 (-5.4) -31.5 (-13.1) -42.0 (-31.4) -6.0 (-8.1) -26.9 (-3.3) -18.8 (-18.0) alaska -10.5 (-15.1) -16.8 (-19.0) -14.6 (-18.6) -22.1 (-29.5) -26.5 (-24.0) -35.9 (-36.4) -20.9 (-30.3) -13.1 (-20.1) -24.3 (-16.5) -38.1 (-19.8) -34.6 (-24.0) -23.8 (-25.9) -25.3 (-1.8) -3.0 (-2.2) vermont 36.6 (32.1) 30.4 (28.1) 36.5 (32.6) 37.8 (30.4) 20.6 (23.1) 10.9 (10.3) 26.4 (16.9) 20.5 (13.6) -3.6 (4.2) -17.3 (1.0) -7.2 (3.4) -11.5 (-13.6) -26.4 (-2.9) -9.6 (-8.8) wyoming -45.0 (-49.5) -51.4 (-53.6) -42.3 (-46.2) -33.1 (-40.5) -40.6 (-38.1) -42.0 (-42.5) -15.0 (-24.4) -7.6 (-14.5) -22.8 (-15.0) -42.8 (-24.5) -38.3 (-27.7) -19.7 (-21.8) -38.7 (-15.2) -22.2 (-21.4)